We started this class by tying up the last loose ends with risk free rates: how to estimate the risk free rate in a currency where there is no default free entity issuing bonds in that currency and why risk free rates vary across currencies. The key lesson is that much as we would like to believe that riskfree rates are set by banks, they come from fundamentals – growth and inflation. I have a post on risk free rates that you might find of use:
http://aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com/2015/04/dealing-with-low-interest-rates.html
The rest of today’s class was spent talking about equity risk premiums. The key theme to take away is that equity risk premiums don’t come from models or history but from our guts. When we (as investors) feel scared or hopeful about everything that is going on around us, the equity risk premium is the receptacle for those fears and hopes. Thus, a good measure of equity risk premium should be dynamic and forward looking. We looked at three different ways of estimating the equity risk premium -a survey premium, a historical premium and an implied premium, and how to extend the approach to estimating risk premiums in other markets.
Slides: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/podcasts/cfspr19/session6slides.pdf
Post Class Test: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/cfovhds/postclass/session6test.pdf
Post Class Test Solution: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/cfovhds/postclass/session6soln.pdf

source

Views: 247

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here